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Signs Of The Economic Times

Rocco A. Carriero by Rocco A. Carriero
June 9, 2014
in Real Estate
Home Real Estate

The health of the economy is often a big focus in news headlines, but why all the attention? The answer is both simple and complex. In our free enterprise system, the state of the economy can make a big difference in our daily lives. It affects opportunities in the job market, drives the stock market, determines prices and influences buyer behavior.

When the economy is robust, there’s optimism in the air. Companies hire, investors invest and consumers tend to spend more freely. Conversely, when the economy is sluggish, the mood is more somber. Companies struggle to make a profit, investors are more cautious and consumers tighten their wallets.

How do we know if the economy is doing well?
Because so many activities contribute to the economy, it can be hard to get a handle on where it is headed. Economic indicators that go hand-in-hand with economic health provide clues. Direct economic indicators go up when the economy is rosy and go down when the economy tanks. Other factors have an inverse relationship with the economy. These inverse factors fall and rise opposite the strength of the economy.

Leading economic indicators are considered the most important factors to watch. Unlike lagging economic indicators that appear after economic change, these indicators tend to come first, helping economists predict the direction of the economy. Here are some of the most often discussed leading economic indicators to put on your radar.

Consumer Price Index
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a consolidated measure of the price of goods and services over time at the consumer level. Observed changes in CPI help determine inflation (rising prices) and cost of living (how much it costs to get by) and help shape our monetary policy. Measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the CPI is calculated for food, energy and all other consumer goods. Further analysis within these categories can reveal what influences price fluctuations.

The prices of some goods and services are more influential than others. For example, because we are a nation of automobile owners, the price of gasoline is closely watched. When prices get too high or too low, the government may intervene with policies intended to cap consumer costs and spur economic activity.

Producer Price Index
While the Consumer Price Index looks at prices paid at the store, the Producer Price Index (PPI) considers what wholesalers pay for U.S. goods and services (less food and energy, which are not factored into this equation). Because wholesale prices influence consumer prices, PPI can be a useful predictor of impending inflation.

U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes
Our nation relies on foreign trade to sustain economic activity. Therefore, the price we can charge our foreign trading partners for goods and services can reveal a good deal about our economic standing. Fluctuations in supply and demand, competition and the stability of our global partners make these measures all the more vulnerable to variability.

Productivity and Costs
How productive are our factories? How efficient are our processes? Productivity statistics tell an important story for those who want to predict how well our economy is working. When businesses are able to do more in less time, profits rise, which in turn paves the way for more investment, more jobs and overall prosperity.

Real Earnings
The real earnings economic indicator looks at real average hourly earnings to estimate consumer buying power. By comparing real earnings to the Consumer Price Index, economists can shed light on just how far the American dollar can go.

New Construction
Housing starts and building permits are regularly monitored by the financial industry because they reflect both business growth and consumer confidence.

Employment Situation
The stock market tends to perk up at the announcement of new hires and fewer unemployment claims. Investors like a healthy economy, where able-bodied workers can find good jobs. Job security also tends to give consumers more confidence.

What can you do with your improved understanding of leading economic indicators? Keep an eye out for trends reported in the news. If you want to do a deep dive, visit the websites for the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau for free reports of economic indicator data. Apply what you learn in a discussion with your financial advisor, who can help you consider important financial decisions that might be affected by a shift in the economic outlook.

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Rocco A. Carriero

Rocco A. Carriero

Rocco is a Private Wealth Advisor with Ameriprise Financial Services, Inc. in Southampton, NY. He specializes in fee-based financial planning and asset management strategies and has been in practice for over 20 years. Advisors is licensed/registered to do business with U.S. residents only in the states of NY, NJ, TX, MA, PA, NC, NH, UT, NV, CA, NM, WA, VT, MS, MD, RI, FL, MO, SC, GA, MN, CT, AZ. Ameriprise Financial Services Inc., and its representatives do not provide tax or legal advice. Consumers should consult with their tax advisor or attorney regarding their specific situation. Brokerage, investment and financial advisory services are made available through Ameriprise Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA and SIPC.

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  • Wildlife Rescue Center Hosts 14th Annual Get Wild Benefit

On Saturday, June 25th the Evelyn Alexander Wildlife Rescue Center held their 14th Annual Get Wild benefit at a beautiful estate property in Southampton Village. The weather was perfect – sunny and warm – and the many guests in attendance enjoyed beverages and passed hors d’oeuvres to a background of classical music played by a string trio. Several of the Rescue Center’s animal ambassadors were also on hand, including hawks, owls and a groundhog. The event honored Suffolk County Legislator Bridget Fleming and Veterinarian Karen Johnson, DVM. An online silent auction raised additional funds. @wildliferescuecenter

Read the full article at Hamptons.com (Link in Bio) #wildlife #wildliferescuecenter #hamptons
  • Emily Tisch Sussman Hosted an Outdoor Soirée to Celebrate the Launch of Her Podcast “She Pivots”

On Thursday, June 23rd, Emily Tisch Sussman hosted an outdoor soirée at her Watermill home to celebrate the launch of her newest endeavor, “She Pivots: The Podcast” powered by Marie Claire. She Pivots features conversations with a diverse group of women who have successfully reinvented their professional careers. The series celebrates and explores a variety of powerful women who have made bold decisions with a view toward inspiring others to pursue their own non-linear paths. @shepivotsthepodcast

Read the full article at Hamptons.com (Link in Bio) #emilytischsussman #shepivots #podcast #hamptons
  • July 4th Holiday Fireworks Schedule for the East End

Every year there is confusion concerning where one can observe fireworks during the summer 4th of July extended holiday in the Hamptons. Wonderfully this year there are many displays all over the east end starting on July 1st and ending on July 16th. There is always a scramble during the 4th of July holiday stretch to know where and when fireworks will be happening! Therefore, this guide has been put together. It should be helpful.

Check out the schedule at Hamptons.com (Link in Bio) #fireworks #fourthofjuly #hamptons #community
  • Whitney Cummings Talks “Touch Me” Tour in WHBPAC

“Touch Me” is a play on hit comedienne Whitney Cummings’ most recent Netflix special, “Can I Touch It” and will destigmatize and celebrate the importance of being together again after months of isolation. The Touch Me tour will be a big ole’ party and celebration of LIFE! The material is deeply personal, reflecting on the changes the pandemic brought to Cummings’ life and her observations of today’s society.

Whitney spoke to Hamptons.com about her “Touch Me” Tour coming to the Westhampton Beach Performing Arts Center on Friday, July 1st at 8pm. @whitneycummings @whbpac

Read the full article at Hamptons.com (Link in Bio) #whitneycummings #whbpac #comedy #hamptons #touchmetour
  • After a sold out festival last year, the Palm Tree Festival delivered an incredible tropical-inspired festival experience in the Hamptons at the Francis S. Gabreski Airport in Westhampton Beach on Saturday, June 25th.

Unmissable sets by a lineup of global icons: Haywood, Forester, Thomas Jack, Claptone, Disclosure, and headliner Kygo, and special guest Jimmy Buffet. 

#palmtreemusicfestival #palmtree #kygo #westhampton #hamptons
  • Farmers Markets on the East End

One of the best things about summer in the Hamptons is the abundance of local farmers’ markets – all the towns have them. Here’s a rundown of farmers’ markets on the East End where you can buy directly from the growers and makers. In addition, there are also some terrific farm markets that sell local products.

Check out the full list at Hamptons.com (Link in Bio) #hamptons #farmersmarket #local
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